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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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all those same polls that show president obama leading and claims to correct the bias, turning romney deficits into commanding romney leads. the idea behind is it simple. all polls base the outcome on what pollsters believe the electorate will look like, how many democrats versus how many republicans they think will actually turn out. getting that partisan makeup wrong can tilt the predictions. the people that don't believe the polls say this time, pollsters think the 2012 electorate will look a lot like 2008 and this they say is wrong. notice i said this time. back in 2004, democrats complained that the polls which showed george w. bush leading were overestimating the number of republicans who would vote. they were wrong. the polls were right. in 2000, al gore said don't believe the polls, polls showed him losing narrowly. polls were right. in fact, it's hard to find an example of the polls on average getting it wrong unless you go back to 1948, when they predicted thomas dewey defeated president harry truman. cnn political contributor ari fleischer joins us. he's an occasionally unpaid commu
all those same polls that show president obama leading and claims to correct the bias, turning romney deficits into commanding romney leads. the idea behind is it simple. all polls base the outcome on what pollsters believe the electorate will look like, how many democrats versus how many republicans they think will actually turn out. getting that partisan makeup wrong can tilt the predictions. the people that don't believe the polls say this time, pollsters think the 2012 electorate will look...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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CNN
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there will still be a substantial deficit but it will be much smaller. president obama's main contribution to this $16 billion debt which is -- a $1 trillion debt which is a ten-year figure, projecting out ten years, was the stimulus bill which was $800 billion, which i believe was a good thing to do. i think that that might even be even bigger without it, because it kept people working and paying taxes and off the government payrolls and because it created new jobs and infrastructure in energy. if you look at his annual spending budgets, they are about 2% increases. that's less than the rate of inflation. so i think that the reason that i believe he will win re-election is that we're beginning to recover. we've had a higher rate of job creation since the recession bottomed out, the collapse bottomed out in the middle of 2009, than in the previous eight years, and we are moving in the right direction, and the policies he has advocated are more likely to present a good economic result. that's why if people thought this was just like another recession, he
there will still be a substantial deficit but it will be much smaller. president obama's main contribution to this $16 billion debt which is -- a $1 trillion debt which is a ten-year figure, projecting out ten years, was the stimulus bill which was $800 billion, which i believe was a good thing to do. i think that that might even be even bigger without it, because it kept people working and paying taxes and off the government payrolls and because it created new jobs and infrastructure in...
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Oct 2, 2012
10/12
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obviously with the budget deficit still at 1.2 trillion that hasn't happened. how does he get past that at the debates? >> as he said, central to his entirely election argument is things were much worse than we thought they were. the country was in a much-worse situation and the americans who lived through the panic of 2008 tend to agree with him, they tend to easily recall what it was like when they opened their 401k statements before this election in 2008 and said, gee, this is not working. the president does have that going in his favor. the thing that makes him more vulnerable is this. this is where romney can really get him. the president said if he got the more than trillion dollars in stimulus packages that he wanted that he could get unemployment down under 8%, and that is not what happened. so what romney will argue is, that the president has failed and that the failures have been simply too expensive. and you know the new sewing began in romney land and that is this. we can't afford four more years. you're going to hear that in very clear relief on we
obviously with the budget deficit still at 1.2 trillion that hasn't happened. how does he get past that at the debates? >> as he said, central to his entirely election argument is things were much worse than we thought they were. the country was in a much-worse situation and the americans who lived through the panic of 2008 tend to agree with him, they tend to easily recall what it was like when they opened their 401k statements before this election in 2008 and said, gee, this is not...
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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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if you want to talk about closing the debt, the deficit. allow fracking. frac away. by the way, there is nothing, never has been any proof of disease or anything -- >> greg: they tried it with breast cancer -- >> bob: i wasn't supposed to talk about the disease part. andrea made a good point. marellus shale runs from ohio, to upper new york state. our friend denny harton you met. friend from west virginia. he convinced me how safe fracking was. it's an important point. if you drive buss with natural gas, it seems you can drive anything with natural gas, right? >> bob: he told me we didn't have the infrastructure to carry natural gas. why not invest in infrastructure to carry natural gas? not have so much dependency on foreign oil. >> kimberly: welcome to the conservative party, bob beckel. >> andrea: can you spread that in your party >> eric: >> bob: when you have that much of an energy resource and you know it runs things, the only problem, of course, is that -- well, anyway. >> greg: k.g. -- >> kimberly: i'm for fracking all the way and anything that gives us energ
if you want to talk about closing the debt, the deficit. allow fracking. frac away. by the way, there is nothing, never has been any proof of disease or anything -- >> greg: they tried it with breast cancer -- >> bob: i wasn't supposed to talk about the disease part. andrea made a good point. marellus shale runs from ohio, to upper new york state. our friend denny harton you met. friend from west virginia. he convinced me how safe fracking was. it's an important point. if you drive...
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Oct 4, 2012
10/12
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CSPAN
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we have to close our deficit. we will discuss how we deal with our tax code and how we make sure we are reducing spending in a response away and have enough revenue to make those investments. governor romney's central economic plan calls for a $5 trillion tax cut on top of the extension of the bush tax cut. $2 trillion in additional military spending -- without dumping the cost on the middle-class americans. that is one of the central questions of this campaign. >> you have spoken about a lot of different things. governor romney, do you have a question you would like to ask directly about something he just said? >> i do not have a tax-cut scale you're talking about. we have to provide tax relief to people in the middle class. i will not reduce the share of taxes paid by high income people. they are doing fine in the economy. the people who are having a hard time are middle-income americans. under the president's policies, they have been buried. middle income americans have seen their income decreased by $4,300. th
we have to close our deficit. we will discuss how we deal with our tax code and how we make sure we are reducing spending in a response away and have enough revenue to make those investments. governor romney's central economic plan calls for a $5 trillion tax cut on top of the extension of the bush tax cut. $2 trillion in additional military spending -- without dumping the cost on the middle-class americans. that is one of the central questions of this campaign. >> you have spoken about a...
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Oct 1, 2012
10/12
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professor i read, his or her advice to mitt romney, be likable and, you have to take care of the likability deficit. forget it. maybe he could have done it in the summer, he has to be tough and go directly at president obama, and, if the media narrative -- you know, they both did well, nice to have a respectful debate, and they all got along and... right, and then it is over. he has to get under president obama's skin and clarify the choice ahead. >> chris: i want to talk about media bias. i i saw a couple of cases, this is the cover of "time" magazine. mitt romney's been running for president, two years, and five weeks before the election, mitt romney's -- they decide, time, they'll do a story on the mormon identity. not about tax reform, not the economy, not about foreign policy, the mormon identity. and, i want to also point out, i think -- i was struck by it this week, this is wednesday's "washington post." might have wife points it out to me. the story in the top is, obama issues a challenge. fair enough, the president spoke to the u.n. and that is a big news story and the lead story: ohio, fl
professor i read, his or her advice to mitt romney, be likable and, you have to take care of the likability deficit. forget it. maybe he could have done it in the summer, he has to be tough and go directly at president obama, and, if the media narrative -- you know, they both did well, nice to have a respectful debate, and they all got along and... right, and then it is over. he has to get under president obama's skin and clarify the choice ahead. >> chris: i want to talk about media...
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Oct 3, 2012
10/12
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trillion dollar deficits for years now. what about those questions in. >> we are overcoming what was the worst recession since the great depression. we've mid a lot of progress. we are losing 800,000 jobs a month and obviously we've created more than 5 million jobs, but better off isn't good enough. we need to do more than that, we need to restore economic security for the middle class, that's why the president is invested in areas like education where we're double funding for college scholarships. we are on track to double renewable energy productions so we are creating the jobs of the future right here in america. he'll talk about both the progress we've made and layout a road map to create good-paying sustainable jobs to the middle class. bill: we are looking forward tonight. thank you for coming back here, ben. ben labolt from the obama team. good luck to you later tonight. andrea saul from the romney team, press secretary for mitt romney. good morning to you. i know you're looking forward to you tonight as well. >> goo
trillion dollar deficits for years now. what about those questions in. >> we are overcoming what was the worst recession since the great depression. we've mid a lot of progress. we are losing 800,000 jobs a month and obviously we've created more than 5 million jobs, but better off isn't good enough. we need to do more than that, we need to restore economic security for the middle class, that's why the president is invested in areas like education where we're double funding for college...
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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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part of the budget reform hike taxes on the wealthy to reduce france's deficit amidst all of. calling for 7 a% tax on the super rich. aruba, sweden and denmark and netherlands have the highest tax rates between 50 and 60%. u.s. caps income tax rates currently at much lower 35%. critics say france's proposed hikes will back fire by putter hurting businesses. police in canada busted three men, including one current and one former police officer for smuggling cheese and other foods across the border cost more in canada than the lower 48. suspects bought $200,000 of the stuff buffalo, new york. drove some 22 miles into canada without declaring it to customs. sold it to canadian restaurants and made more than $165,000 in profit. off cheese. one day after israel's prime minister netanyahu drew a red line. he spoke about the iranian nuclear threat. we will have details from both phone calls. word of another football bounty scandal. but not in the nfl this time. peewee wait until you hear this. bob... oh, hey alex. just picking up some, brochures, posters copies of my acceptance speec
part of the budget reform hike taxes on the wealthy to reduce france's deficit amidst all of. calling for 7 a% tax on the super rich. aruba, sweden and denmark and netherlands have the highest tax rates between 50 and 60%. u.s. caps income tax rates currently at much lower 35%. critics say france's proposed hikes will back fire by putter hurting businesses. police in canada busted three men, including one current and one former police officer for smuggling cheese and other foods across the...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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FBC
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do we want four more years of trillion dollar deficits? i don't believe we can afford four more years like the last four years. lou: a new report highlights governor rome -- governor romney's criticisms showing household incomes fell by an average rate of more than 8%. the census bureau revealing the number of people in poverty rose by 3 million in the first three years of the obama administration. we'll take all of that here tonight with former economic adviser to president reagan, economists, author laffer, and digital politics editor, and former bush adviser brad blakeman to separate facts from fiction in the world of presidential polls and strategies. early voting has presidential votes cast in more than half the country by next week. shannon has our report. the president's poll numbers in ohio getting a boost from stronger economic numbers, but there's head winds pressuring the campaign. the white house chief correspondent, ed henry, reports. >> since early voting starts tuesday here in ohio, it was a familiar script for president oba
do we want four more years of trillion dollar deficits? i don't believe we can afford four more years like the last four years. lou: a new report highlights governor rome -- governor romney's criticisms showing household incomes fell by an average rate of more than 8%. the census bureau revealing the number of people in poverty rose by 3 million in the first three years of the obama administration. we'll take all of that here tonight with former economic adviser to president reagan, economists,...
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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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what he believes in the middle east and has to carry that message over to the economic argument, the deficit spending argument, and he has to bring a really hardball -- a hard fastball when he shows up at that debate on wednesday. megyn: chris, i would like to touch base on the polls. this week, another poll came out it was not good for governor romney. some of these critical swing states. we have talked about how those polls, i don't want to say oversample democrats, but more peoples.identifying as republicans or democrats. clearly there are more democrats in the state where it was an anomaly, we don't know. truly, if you look at the mainstream media, they say that this race is gone. >> you hear that reinforced over and over. it is in the late-night jokes, mitt romney's a loser, and that is exactly what the president wants is for him to say that this guy is lost. megyn: chris stirewalt, thank you. there are questions today about why the two biggest news wire services in the country just to send out this photo of benjamin netanyahu at the united nations yesterday. take a look. okay, this is
what he believes in the middle east and has to carry that message over to the economic argument, the deficit spending argument, and he has to bring a really hardball -- a hard fastball when he shows up at that debate on wednesday. megyn: chris, i would like to touch base on the polls. this week, another poll came out it was not good for governor romney. some of these critical swing states. we have talked about how those polls, i don't want to say oversample democrats, but more...
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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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they don't have a deficit reduction plan. they have a deficit expansion plan. [cheers and applause] >> reporter: now, this morning governor romney jumped on those new gdp figures, said it reinforces his charge that this country cannot afford another four years of president obama and that his five-point plan for the economy and jobs is the right prescription for this country. this is what he said. >> those five things i describe will get america's economy going again, will help people find jobs that need those jobs, will get take-home pay to come up again. this is not a mystery. we know how to do it, america has faced challenges before. when we have strong leaders, when we have people who know how to lead and where to get it -- we can get it done. and i am and we will. >> reporter: governor romney looking more toward the future and what this country would be like under a romney administration, making this as much about a choice as it has been so far about a referendum on the president. jon? jon: we are less than a week away, though, from the first presidential d
they don't have a deficit reduction plan. they have a deficit expansion plan. [cheers and applause] >> reporter: now, this morning governor romney jumped on those new gdp figures, said it reinforces his charge that this country cannot afford another four years of president obama and that his five-point plan for the economy and jobs is the right prescription for this country. this is what he said. >> those five things i describe will get america's economy going again, will help...
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Oct 3, 2012
10/12
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the deficit number? >> probably the deficit. i think if you are the president's campaign you're less worried about romney's numbers right now. on the one hand the 40% right direction is the highest it has been in 3 1/2 years and any incumbent heading in that is momentum. 53% say the country is headed in the wrong track. i think this for the president is not about mitt romney. those advantages, chuck, on china, foreign policy and the deficit aren't as strong as for usual republicans. and the final point i would make is i think the important thing for this election is that braump has a 52 positive, 42 negative image. mitt romney has a negative image. only two have had a net negative image at this point and one of them loss, george h.w. bush and romney needs to improve that dynamic. >> democratic pollster. thank you very much to both of you. we have to get back in the field. let's keep poling. just two days away from friday's jobs report. we will get a quick preview on wall street on the market run down. and then we are taking a tr
the deficit number? >> probably the deficit. i think if you are the president's campaign you're less worried about romney's numbers right now. on the one hand the 40% right direction is the highest it has been in 3 1/2 years and any incumbent heading in that is momentum. 53% say the country is headed in the wrong track. i think this for the president is not about mitt romney. those advantages, chuck, on china, foreign policy and the deficit aren't as strong as for usual republicans. and...
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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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>> do you want four more years of trillion dollar deficits? [no!] >> 13 tkreut cal electoral votes in that state. 270 needed to win the white house. john roberts is live in springfield, virginia. what is governor romney doing there today. >> easy peering at the american legion hall talking to veterans and get the support of 42 medal of horn recipients and he'll talking about the effect of looming sequestration and defense cuts in virginia. the military is all across this air, in the washington area and no fork area. it is estimated that the sequestration defense cuts could result in the loss of as many as 65,000 jobs in small businesses related to the defense industry. this election campaign continues to be all about ohio and the jobs. governor romney is saying he is the one best positioned to help out the middle class, obama hammering romney for a lack of detail in his economic and tax plan, have a listen. >> no matter how many times they try to tell you they are going to start talking specifics really soon, they don't do it. and the reason is beca
>> do you want four more years of trillion dollar deficits? [no!] >> 13 tkreut cal electoral votes in that state. 270 needed to win the white house. john roberts is live in springfield, virginia. what is governor romney doing there today. >> easy peering at the american legion hall talking to veterans and get the support of 42 medal of horn recipients and he'll talking about the effect of looming sequestration and defense cuts in virginia. the military is all across this air,...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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why don't you put up the s "i will cut the deficit in my first term. this is a one-term proposition." >> headline in the "new york times," romney paid a 14% tax rate. they never said he paid almost $2 million in taxes. >> and where is the evidence about the sullying of the religion? what is he basing that on? >> bill: look, he nearly lost his life when he was on a mission. he's donated a fortune to his church and charities. i mean, you know, can you imagine -- just reverse
why don't you put up the s "i will cut the deficit in my first term. this is a one-term proposition." >> headline in the "new york times," romney paid a 14% tax rate. they never said he paid almost $2 million in taxes. >> and where is the evidence about the sullying of the religion? what is he basing that on? >> bill: look, he nearly lost his life when he was on a mission. he's donated a fortune to his church and charities. i mean, you know, can you imagine...
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Oct 3, 2012
10/12
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WUSA
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americans can afford it. reduce our deficit by... next decade, on top of the... already cut. little more. afghanistan... pay down our debt and... nation-building... right here at home. patriotism, rooted in the... begins with a strong... thriving middle class. read my plan. and decide for yourself. thanks for listening. this message. >>> i've been combing through the day's daily deals, e-mails and retailer websites to find you some deep discounts. on this wednesday we are maintaining your home this fall. we're going to start with a deal i personally bought. a chimney cleaning and inspection with the fireplace doctor. the price? $79, a 62% savings. if you have a chimney, you need to maintain it or else your risks of house fires go up. you're going to find this deal on living social. next we're moving on to your h vac system. $45 for an air duct cleaning package, 566% savings -- a 66% savings. v clean offering this deal with google offers. get some help with your fall cleaning from maid to please. groupon has this deal, a two- hour home cleaning session with a team of two cleaners, $121 at
americans can afford it. reduce our deficit by... next decade, on top of the... already cut. little more. afghanistan... pay down our debt and... nation-building... right here at home. patriotism, rooted in the... begins with a strong... thriving middle class. read my plan. and decide for yourself. thanks for listening. this message. >>> i've been combing through the day's daily deals, e-mails and retailer websites to find you some deep discounts. on this wednesday we are maintaining...
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Sep 29, 2012
09/12
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CNNW
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that's been a huge deficit for him over the course of this campaign. no specifics, no details. so i think that is part of the burden he carries next wednesday night. >> i suppose one of the problems for you is that barack obama is in the strange position of being the quite clear favorite. i don't think many incumbent presidents have that going into debates but people say i saw a poll this morning, he's up nearly 60% of americans believe obama will win the debates. that's always a rather precarious place to go into a debate, isn't it, as the clear favorite because expectation levels can often exceed performance. >> that is definitely the case. you know, the president -- we're taking this debate very seriously. we know that there's a certain expectation on our side. we also know what history tells us, that challengers normally win the first debate, just by the fact that they're standing on the stage with the president. that elevates them. and they normally come into these things as underdogs so we're coming into this debate very realistic that mitt romney is likely to win, if he
that's been a huge deficit for him over the course of this campaign. no specifics, no details. so i think that is part of the burden he carries next wednesday night. >> i suppose one of the problems for you is that barack obama is in the strange position of being the quite clear favorite. i don't think many incumbent presidents have that going into debates but people say i saw a poll this morning, he's up nearly 60% of americans believe obama will win the debates. that's always a rather...
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Oct 4, 2012
10/12
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WMPT
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we ended up moving from surplus to deficits. and it all culminated in the worst financial crise since the great depression. bill clinton tried the approach that i'm talking about. we created 23 million new jobs. we went from deficit to surplus, and businesses did very well. so in some ways, we've got some data on which approach is more likely to create jobs and opportunity for americans and i believe that the economy works best when middle-class families are getting tax breaks so that they've got some money in their pockets, and those of us who have done extraordinarily well because of this magnificent country that we live in, that we can afford to do a little bit more to make sure we're not blowing up the deficit. >> jim, the president began this segment, so i think i get the last word, so i'm going to take it. >> lehrer: you're going to get the first word in this segment. >> let me just make this comment-- let me repeat what i said. i'm not in favor of a $5 trillion tax cut. that's not my plan. my plan is not to put in place a
we ended up moving from surplus to deficits. and it all culminated in the worst financial crise since the great depression. bill clinton tried the approach that i'm talking about. we created 23 million new jobs. we went from deficit to surplus, and businesses did very well. so in some ways, we've got some data on which approach is more likely to create jobs and opportunity for americans and i believe that the economy works best when middle-class families are getting tax breaks so that they've...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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we take the deficit seriously. we need to bring the deficit down so that companies can grow. >> again, i think that the whole politics and envy is a sad chapter in politics and i would only suggest that i would bring to the table. the president obama and ann mclane kuster idea -- the individuals with incomes of more than $200,000 per year, bringing to the table. i'll consider it. show me where he will cut that? >> okay, thank you so much for that. we will have 30 seconds for this round. we begin with you. >> do you think any changes are needed to benefit new hampshire's business community? >> what i have heard about mostly from the business community in terms of integration are the high-end technical employees that they would like to be able to talk about going to new hampshire. as well as, on the art or cultural sector, another is an issue about bringing in part-time work on the road in hopkinton, and i know we need to bring people in. but in general, i have not heard any immigration issues in new hampshire. i thi
we take the deficit seriously. we need to bring the deficit down so that companies can grow. >> again, i think that the whole politics and envy is a sad chapter in politics and i would only suggest that i would bring to the table. the president obama and ann mclane kuster idea -- the individuals with incomes of more than $200,000 per year, bringing to the table. i'll consider it. show me where he will cut that? >> okay, thank you so much for that. we will have 30 seconds for this...
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Sep 29, 2012
09/12
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CNN
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more jobs will slash that deficit. >>> our third story, another day, another bad set of numbers for mitt romney. there are two new polls today by the american research group and they have mitt romney trailing president obama in two more swing states. five points in new hampshire and two in virginia. although i wanted to highlight the virginia one. there had been other polls to show that gap wider. this would be a much better than expected result than some of the others we've seen. this week -- has not been kind to the republican candidate as polls have shown him falling behind the president. but he is not showing any change in confidence. >> i've got a little secret here and that is that obama campaign thinks that pennsylvania is in their pocket. they don't need to worry about it. and you're right and they're wrong. we're going to win pennsylvania. we're going to take the white house. >> he's going to have to overcome a big deficit to do it, but people do like a comeback kid. max, jen, the obama campaign press secretary. two very different problems. one, you don't want to get complacent
more jobs will slash that deficit. >>> our third story, another day, another bad set of numbers for mitt romney. there are two new polls today by the american research group and they have mitt romney trailing president obama in two more swing states. five points in new hampshire and two in virginia. although i wanted to highlight the virginia one. there had been other polls to show that gap wider. this would be a much better than expected result than some of the others we've seen. this...
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Oct 4, 2012
10/12
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. >> when i walked into the oval office, hi more than a trillion dollar deficit greeting me and we know where it came from. >> soon their approaches changeed. president obama versus mitt romney and is this round 1 or a knockout blow? the candidates are in a different place tonight and tom fitzgerald fooled their movements and turned -- turned into spin rooms. tom. >> reporter: the democratic position was that mitt romney's performance last night, in their words, is at odds with what he's saying on the campaign trail and privately, they're acknowledging what many have been saying, that governor romney had a good debate and the president is going to be under pressure to do better next time. the president tried to refrain the debate saying the mitt romney he saw last night had little resemblance to what the president said romney's policies are. governor romney himself, meanwhile s meeting with supporters in colorado. romney said the debate gave him a chance to frame the campaign for the country for what their choice would be. >> last night, i thought it was a great opportunity for the amer
. >> when i walked into the oval office, hi more than a trillion dollar deficit greeting me and we know where it came from. >> soon their approaches changeed. president obama versus mitt romney and is this round 1 or a knockout blow? the candidates are in a different place tonight and tom fitzgerald fooled their movements and turned -- turned into spin rooms. tom. >> reporter: the democratic position was that mitt romney's performance last night, in their words, is at odds...